Italy vs Germany Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 20th March 2025

Cover image for Italy vs Germany Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 20th March 2025

The last time Italy faced off against Germany, Germany claimed a 5-2 win at Borussia-Park.

Whereas hosts Italy sit as number 9 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Germany arrive on Thursday as number 10.

Italy are confident they will be scoring goals in their next assignment in the Nations League A, as they show off very admirable numbers from their past ten matches. The hosts scored two goals on average per match, or 20 goals in total, while allowing 12 goals against, for an average of 1.2 per outing. They managed three clean sheets along the way.

Germany scored a decent 27 goals in ten outings, or an average of 2.7 goals per game. They allowed a total of 11 goals against, an average of 1.1 goals per match, while achieving three clean sheets.

Italy vs Germany Prediction

Italy Form

Italy hope to get back to winning ways after first beating Israel by 4-1, before winning 0-1 against Belgium. The streak ended in a recent 1-3 defeat against France. Italy put four wins on the board in their previous six internationals. They drew one and lost one, scored 13 goals while conceding eight.

Germany Form

In their three most recent outings, Germany won 1-0 and 7-0 against Netherlands and Bosnia-Herzegovina, before drawing 1-1 against Hungary. Germany performed a very admirable four wins in six internationals, while they also drew two and lost zero. They scored 18 times, while also conceding seven goals.

Italy and Germany looks like an equal match, and it is difficult to separate one from the other currently, which makes the draw seem worth a punt.

Germany didn't lose any of their 6 most recent games.

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Italy vs Germany Stats

  • In 7 of the last 8 Italy matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In the last 4 Italy home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In the last 3 Italy home matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In the last 3 Italy home matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 3.5
  • In 5 of the last 6 Italy matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 6 of the last 7 Germany away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
  • In 5 of the last 7 Germany matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 5 of the last 7 Germany matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 3 of the last 4 Germany away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
  • In 3 of the last 4 Germany away matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5

Italy vs Germany Team News

Italy vs Germany H2H

Italy face off against Germany for the first time in a while, with Germany claiming a 5-2 win at Borussia-Park back then. The previous ten matches were equally split between these two sides. Italy won three and Germany won three matches. However, Germany did manage a 5-2 win last time out, and the bookies best betting odds on an away win at full-time are at 28/17.

Italy vs Germany Results

Of the last ten encounters between Italy Germany over 2.5 goals came out five times. Odds on over 2.5 goals are at 11/10 with bookies.

Italy vs Germany Betting Tips

Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Davide Frattesi, who is performing well for Italy. He found the back of the net three times in his most recent national team outings. He'll be out to add more goals for his country against Germany. The visitors will be looking up to Deniz Undav to find the net once again, after managing three goals for Germany in his last six matches.

Italy won seven of the previous 10 home matches across all tournaments, while drawing two and losing one as well. Germany won three from a possible 10 away from home, as they also drew four and lost three in this run. Strap yourselves up for a goals at San Siro since both teams scored in six of the last 10 home matches for Italy. The same occurred in seven of the last 10 league games away from home for Germany.

Over 2.5 goals came out five times in the last ten encounters between these two teams. Italy managed an average of two goals, with Germany averaging 2.1 goals in these. Both teams to score was a winning bet eight times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals came out six times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Italy, who scored an average of 1.6 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals happened in five of the last ten outings for Germany, who managed to score 2.4 times in those matches.

Tips

Draw

Italy and Germany seem a fairly equal pairing right now, with not a lot to separate the two sides. As such, going for a draw in the betting market seem worth a punt.